*GSLP/Libs top the poll with 10 seats

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 Tuesday, October 15, 2019 - 09:58

*GSD secure 6 Opposition seats 

*TG secure one Opposition seat

The GSLP/Liberals will win the general election, topping the poll, and securing the 10 Government seats.

The election on Thursday is for a 17-seat Parliament.

Of the remaining seven seats for the Opposition, six will go to the GSD and the remaining one will go to TG, according to the PANORAMA OPINION POLL which closed yesterday.

Fabian Picardo tops the poll, with Joseph Garcia coming second. 

As regards the GSD, voting was quite close in respect of Azopardi, Feetham and Clinton. Bossino was also trailing behind in the top echelon of the GSD.

As regards the TG, Hassan Nahon was well ahead of the rest of the TG candidates, with Craig Sacarello coming second and Kamlesh Khubchand third in the TG list.

When the final positions of all candidates are considered, Hassan Nahon came 16, breaking into the GSD soft underbelly. But no other TG candidates are expected to be elected.

Also elected in the GSD are Azopardi, Feetham, Clinton, Bossino, Phillips,and Reyes.

But Reyes and Hassan Nahon came quite close.

What the poll also showed was that the candidates at the bottom end of the GSD slate were quite vulnerable, with the poll indicating that a stronger third party could have made inroads and displaced a number of GSD candidates. But that was not to be the case.

In the TG slate, there were four candidates who came quite close - Samtani, Suarez, Ghio and Pozo, all in the bottom 'danger zone'.

As regards the GSLP/Libs, Daryanani and Sacramento were quite close at the bottom end - while at the top end Picardo and Garcia were close.

The block vote in the GSLP/Libs was the strongest of them all, while TG block voting was the weakest.

Block voting is what wins elections. The ten GSLP/Libs candidates were well ahead of the rest, and gave the impression of being safe in their positions.

In the first count of our poll last week, the position of the GSLP/Libs, while still winners, was not as strong as their final position - it was while the campaign gained momentum that they gained additional support.

Another interesting fact is that the TG had fewer votes when you consider the position on a block vote basis only. When split voting comes into play, their position increases.

Both the GSLP/Liberals and the GSD lost some votes when the split voting was increasing, as you would in an election.

The net result is that the GSLP/Libs obtained almost twice as many votes as their nearest rivals, the GSD, and over three times that of the TG.

MORE INFORMATION INCLUDING STATISTICS IN OUR PRINT EDITION.

15-10-2019 PANORAMAdailyGIBRALTAR